10 Jul · 09:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JC
🇨🇿Josef Cabak
ELO 1531
FormLLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Cabak
FL
🇨🇿Frantisek Laburda
ELO 1510
FormWLWLL
51%
49%
🌟Cabak stays under total as favourite 65% (20)
Fair odds · Cabak
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+21
H2H0-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.