10 Jul · 17:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DO
🇨🇿Dmytro Opanasiuk
ELO 1597
FormLLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Wolf
FW
🇨🇿Filip Wolf
ELO 1644
FormWLWWL
48%
52%
🌟Opanasiuk covers set handicap as underdog 67% (60)
Fair odds · Wolf
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+47
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.