10 Jul · 17:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MT
🇨🇿Mihail Trinta
ELO 1497
FormWWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Trinta
JP
🇨🇿Jan Pleskot
ELO 1453
FormLWLLL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Pleskot🌟Pleskot covers set handicap as underdog 68% (69)
Fair odds · Trinta
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+44
H2H23-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.