10 Jul · 18:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MB
🇨🇿Marek Blejchar
ELO 1541
FormWLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Blejchar
VC
🇨🇿Vojtech Cerny
ELO 1473
FormLWLLL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Blejchar
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+68
H2H0-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.