10 Jul · 20:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JC
🇨🇿Jan Cernik
ELO 1762
FormLLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Cernik
ZB
🇨🇿Zdenek Bilek
ELO 1759
FormWLWWW
50%
50%
🌟Bilek covers set handicap as underdog 74% (27)
Fair odds · Cernik
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H4-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.