10 Jul · 18:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MT
🇨🇿Mihail Trinta
ELO 1497
FormWWWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Trinta
MR
🇨🇿Milan Regner
ELO 1369
FormLLLWL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Trinta
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+128
H2H10-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+128)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-6)