10 Jul · 18:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KD
🇨🇿Kyryl Darin
ELO 1517
FormWLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Darin
TD
🇨🇿Tomas Dousa
ELO 1495
FormLWLLW
51%
49%
🌟Darin stays under total as favourite 63% (89)
Fair odds · Darin
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+22
H2H5-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.