10 Jul · 17:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JS
🇨🇿Jakub Stolfa
ELO 1489
FormWWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Darin
KD
🇨🇿Kyryl Darin
ELO 1517
FormWLWWW
49%
51%
🌟Darin stays under total as favourite 63% (89)
Fair odds · Darin
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 35% · 2.82· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+28
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.