11 Jul · 14:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MR
🇨🇿Milan Regner
ELO 1360
FormLLLWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Ulrych
MU
🇨🇿Martin Ulrych
ELO 1527
FormWWLLW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Ulrych
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+167
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+167)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)