11 Jul · 12:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MT
🇨🇿Martin Tacinec
ELO 1495
FormLLWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Tacinec
MR
🇨🇿Milan Regner
ELO 1360
FormLLLWL
57%
43%
🌟Tacinec rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (23)
Fair odds · Tacinec
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~73 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+135
H2H11-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+135)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-2)