11 Jul · 22:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DO
🇨🇿Dmytro Opanasiuk
ELO 1606
FormWLWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Opanasiuk
JR
🇨🇿Jiri Ruzicka
ELO 1597
FormWLWWL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Ruzicka🌟Opanasiuk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (80)
Fair odds · Opanasiuk
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+9
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.