12 Jul · 04:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JR
🇨🇿Jiri Ruzicka
ELO 1597
FormWLWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Opanasiuk
DO
🇨🇿Dmytro Opanasiuk
ELO 1606
FormWLWLL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Opanasiuk🌟Opanasiuk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (80)
Fair odds · Opanasiuk
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+9
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.