12 Jul · 01:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JZ
🇨🇿Jiri Zuzanek
ELO 1565
FormLLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Zuzanek
DH
🇨🇿Denis Hofman
ELO 1517
FormWLLLW
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Hofman🌟Hofman covers set handicap as underdog 62% (87)
Fair odds · Zuzanek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+48
H2H23-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.