11 Jul · 22:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DP
🇨🇿Daniel Priesol
ELO 1439
FormWLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Schneeberger
AS
🇨🇿Antonin Schneeberger
ELO 1440
FormLWLLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Schneeberger
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H9-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.