12 Jul · 04:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MP
🇨🇿Marcel Pikous
ELO 1608
FormLWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Pikous
JZ
🇨🇿Jiri Zuzanek
ELO 1565
FormLLLWW
52%
48%
🌟Zuzanek covers set handicap as underdog 63% (100)
Fair odds · Pikous
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+43
H2H12-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.