11 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RP
🇨🇿Radovan Polasek
ELO 1690
FormWWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Polasek
RR
🇨🇿Radomir Revay
ELO 1643
FormLWLLL
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Revay🌟Revay covers set handicap as underdog 72% (99)
Fair odds · Polasek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+47
H2H68-54
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.