11 Jul · 14:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MT
🇨🇿Martin Tacinec
ELO 1495
FormLLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Tacinec
MT
🇨🇿Miroslav Tuma
ELO 1464
FormWLWLW
52%
48%
🌟Tuma stays under total as underdog 66% (29)
Fair odds · Tacinec
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 40% · 2.53· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H5-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.