11 Jul · 13:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jiri Svec
ELO 1311
FormWLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Svec
JC
🇨🇿Jaromir Cernik
ELO 1278
FormLLLWW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Svec
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+33
H2H34-35
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.