11 Jul · 09:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vavrecka
ELO 1580
FormLLWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Polasek
RP
🇨🇿Radovan Polasek
ELO 1690
FormWWWWW
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vavrecka🌟Vavrecka covers set handicap as underdog 64% (120)
Fair odds · Polasek
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+110
H2H24-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+110)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (24-14)