11 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MV
🇨🇿Milan Vrabec
ELO 1332
FormLWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Vrabec
JC
🇨🇿Jaromir Cernik
ELO 1278
FormLLLWW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Vrabec
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+54
H2H30-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.