11 Jul · 16:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Neuwirth Snr
ELO 1535
FormWLLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Machander
DM
🇨🇿Dalimil Machander
ELO 1575
FormLWWWW
48%
52%
🌟Machander rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (38)
Fair odds · Machander
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 28% · 3.53· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+40
H2H0-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.