11 Jul · 21:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ML
🇨🇿Matej Levicky
ELO 1481
FormLLWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Levicky
PB
🇨🇿Pavel Berdych
ELO 1367
FormWWWWL
56%
44%
⚡ Cover lean · Levicky🌟Berdych stays under total as underdog 71% (28)
Fair odds · Levicky
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 73% · 1.38· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+114
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+114)