12 Jul · 08:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MT
🇨🇿Miroslav Tuma
ELO 1464
FormWLWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Tuma
MS
🇨🇿Michal Syroha
ELO 1407
FormLLLLW
53%
47%
🌟Tuma rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (45)
Fair odds · Tuma
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+57
H2H29-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.