11 Jul · 17:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇨🇿Michal Syroha
ELO 1398
FormLLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Levicky
ML
🇨🇿Matej Levicky
ELO 1469
FormLLLWW
46%
54%
🌟Levicky stays under total as favourite 64% (50)
Fair odds · Levicky
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+71
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.