12 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JP
🇨🇿Jan Pleskot
ELO 1429
FormWLLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Pleskot
MN
🇨🇿Miroslav Necas
ELO 1426
FormWLLLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Pleskot
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.