12 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
FZ
🇨🇿Filip Zurek
ELO 1539
FormWWLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Zurek
TM
🇨🇿Tomas Milkov
ELO 1466
FormWLWLL
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Milkov🌟Milkov covers set handicap as underdog 68% (19)
Fair odds · Zurek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 38% · 2.65· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+73
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.