12 Jul · 04:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MP
🇨🇿Marcel Pikous
ELO 1623
FormWLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Pikous
RP
🇨🇿Robin Pacha
ELO 1611
FormWWLWW
51%
49%
🌟Pacha covers set handicap as underdog 65% (17)
Fair odds · Pikous
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+12
H2H12-20
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.