12 Jul · 09:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PB
🇨🇿Petr Bruzek
ELO 1448
FormLWLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Bruzek
JD
🇨🇿Julius Didi
ELO 1444
FormLLWWL
50%
50%
🌟Bruzek stays under total as favourite 86% (21)
Fair odds · Bruzek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H4-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.