12 Jul · 01:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RP
🇨🇿Robin Pacha
ELO 1611
FormWWLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Pacha
DH
🇨🇿Denis Hofman
ELO 1522
FormLWLLW
55%
45%
🌟Hofman covers set handicap as underdog 63% (90)
Fair odds · Pacha
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+89
H2H13-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-9)