12 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PB
🇨🇿Pavel Bajtek
ELO 1463
FormLLWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Milkov
TM
🇨🇿Tomas Milkov
ELO 1466
FormWLWLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Milkov
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.