13 Jul · 16:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DM
🇨🇿Dalimil Machander
ELO 1570
FormLWLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Machander
JS
🇨🇿Jan Stoch
ELO 1473
FormLLWWW
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Stoch🌟Stoch covers set handicap as underdog 65% (20)
Fair odds · Machander
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+97
H2H2-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+97)