13 Jul · 14:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PK
🇨🇿Pavel Kulhanek
ELO 1439
FormLWLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Levicky
ML
🇨🇿Matej Levicky
ELO 1469
FormLWWWL
48%
52%
🌟Kulhanek covers set handicap as underdog 72% (29)
Fair odds · Levicky
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H2-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.