13 Jul · 13:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LP
🇨🇿Libor Prikasky
ELO 1614
FormLLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Jr
JJ
🇨🇿Jan Mecl Jr
ELO 1649
FormLWWWL
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Prikasky
Fair odds · Jr
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+35
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.