13 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VA
🇨🇿Vladimir Adamczyk
ELO 1558
FormLLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Adamczyk
JC
🇨🇿Josef Cabak
ELO 1540
FormLWWWL
51%
49%
🌟Adamczyk stays under total as favourite 62% (40)
Fair odds · Adamczyk
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 38% · 2.67· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+18
H2H0-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.