13 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DO
🇨🇿Dmytro Opanasiuk
ELO 1640
FormWLWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Opanasiuk
FW
🇨🇿Filip Wolf
ELO 1638
FormLWWLL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Wolf🌟Opanasiuk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (89)
Fair odds · Opanasiuk
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 47% · 2.15· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H3-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.