13 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TZ
🇨🇿Tadeas Zika
ELO 1614
FormLWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Revay
RR
🇨🇿Radomir Revay
ELO 1653
FormLWWWL
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Zika🌟Zika covers set handicap as underdog 72% (240)
Fair odds · Revay
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+39
H2H52-50
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.