13 Jul · 13:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JP
🇨🇿Jakub Plachta
ELO 1602
FormWLWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Polasek
RP
🇨🇿Radovan Polasek
ELO 1665
FormLLWLW
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Plachta🌟Plachta covers set handicap as underdog 65% (20)
Fair odds · Polasek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 47% · 2.15· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+63
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.