13 Jul · 14:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MN
🇨🇿Matyas Navedla
ELO 1596
FormWWLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Plachta
JP
🇨🇿Jakub Plachta
ELO 1602
FormWLWLL
50%
50%
🌟Plachta stays under total as favourite 71% (31)
Fair odds · Plachta
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 38% · 2.65· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+6
H2H8-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.