13 Jul · 10:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VH
🇨🇿Vladimir Havlicek
ELO 1473
FormWWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Vesely
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vesely
ELO 1547
FormWLWWL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Vesely
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+74
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.