13 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LP
🇨🇿Libor Prikasky
ELO 1614
FormLLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Wolf
FW
🇨🇿Filip Wolf
ELO 1638
FormLWWLL
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Prikasky
Fair odds · Wolf
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.