13 Jul · 10:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LP
🇨🇿Libor Prikasky
ELO 1614
FormLLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Prikasky
MZ
🇨🇿Michal Zahradka
ELO 1604
FormLLLLL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Zahradka🌟Zahradka covers set handicap as underdog 65% (84)
Fair odds · Prikasky
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+10
H2H4-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.