13 Jul · 17:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OS
🇨🇿Ondrej Svacha
ELO 1628
FormWWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Svacha
OK
🇨🇿Oleksandr Kolisnyk
ELO 1608
FormWLWWL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Svacha
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+20
H2H26-24
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.