13 Jul · 14:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MZ
🇨🇿Michal Zahradka
ELO 1604
FormLLLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Prikasky
LP
🇨🇿Libor Prikasky
ELO 1614
FormLLLLW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Prikasky🌟Zahradka covers set handicap as underdog 65% (84)
Fair odds · Prikasky
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+10
H2H4-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.