13 Jul · 12:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VN
🇨🇿Vaclav Nohejl
ELO 1574
FormLWWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Nohejl
JN
🇨🇿Jaroslav Novotny
ELO 1477
FormLLWWL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Nohejl
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+97
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+97)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)