13 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LS
🇨🇿Lubor Sulava
ELO 1465
FormWWWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Levicky
ML
🇨🇿Matej Levicky
ELO 1469
FormLWWWL
50%
50%
🌟Levicky stays under total as favourite 62% (61)
Fair odds · Levicky
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.