13 Jul · 10:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MR
🇨🇿Milan Regner
ELO 1359
FormWLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Regner
VS
🇨🇿Vaclav Hruska Sr
ELO 1330
FormLLWWL
51%
49%
🌟Regner rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (51)
Fair odds · Regner
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H2-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.