13 Jul · 14:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JJ
🇨🇿Jan Mecl Jr
ELO 1649
FormLWWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Jr
DO
🇨🇿Dmytro Opanasiuk
ELO 1640
FormWLWWW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Opanasiuk🌟Opanasiuk covers set handicap as underdog 69% (68)
Fair odds · Jr
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+9
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.