13 Jul · 10:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VA
🇨🇿Vladimir Adamczyk
ELO 1558
FormLLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Zidek
VZ
🇨🇿Vaclav Zidek
ELO 1600
FormWWWWW
48%
52%
🌟Adamczyk covers set handicap as underdog 65% (31)
Fair odds · Zidek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~73 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+42
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.