13 Jul · 13:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TK
🇨🇿Tibor Kolenic
ELO 1439
FormLLLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Nohejl
VN
🇨🇿Vaclav Nohejl
ELO 1574
FormLWWLW
43%
57%
⚡ Cover lean · Nohejl
Fair odds · Nohejl
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+135
H2H1-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+135)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)