13 Jul · 17:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JN
🇨🇿Jiri Nesnera
ELO 1687
FormWLLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Nesnera
FW
🇨🇿Filip Wolf
ELO 1638
FormLWWLL
53%
47%
🌟Nesnera stays under total as favourite 71% (14)
Fair odds · Nesnera
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+49
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.